The conflict between NATO and Russia can lead either to an open war, or to dissolution of the Alliance, states the analytical report of the American portal Vox, Joinfo.ua reports.
According to the experts, the current strained relations between Nato and Russia have more similarities with the period before World War I than with the times of the Cold War.
“An unstable power balance, belligerence over peripheral conflicts, entangling military commitments, disputes over the future of the European order, and dangerous uncertainty about what actions will and will not force the other party into conflict.” The political scientists believe that it all reminds of the beginning of XX century.
According to the analysts, the Baltic countries are at the far edge of eastern Europe, along Russia’s border and there “World War III is likeliest to start.”
Stephen Saideman, a professor of International Relations at Carleton University, says that small countries are “the most likely the front line of any future crisis.”
The experts also draw attention to Estonia, where a quarter of population is ethnic Russian.
According to their hypothesis, Russia’s “little green men” in the Estonian town of Narva, whose large part of the population is Russian-speaking, could become the beginning of the conflict.
So NATO could face a choice: to open fire on some hoodlums stirring up trouble in Estonia, knowing they might actually be unmarked Russian troops or risk the first major European war since 1945, all to eject some unmarked Russian troops from the Estonian town of Narva.
Otherwise the alliance will dissolve due the inability to respond to global threats.
If open confrontation starts, the world may face a “nuclear winter.”
Earlier we reported that the Russian army held military exercises aimed at isolation of the Baltic states from NATO and made training nuclear attack on Warsaw. Surely, it will reflect on the future relations between NATO and Russia.